- 10/04/2010
- 03/05/2009
- 16/10/2007
- 21/08/2007
- 20/08/2007
QUOTE:
By: CNBC.com
“Those who don’t remember history are doomed to repeat it…there was a head and shoulders pattern that developed before the Depression in 1929, then with the recovery in 1930 we had another head and shoulders pattern that preceded a fall in the market, and in the current Dow situation we see an exact repeat of that environment,” Guppy said. The Dow retreated 457.33 points, or 4.5 percent last week, to close at 9,686 Friday. Guppy said a Dow fall below 9,800 confirmed the head and shoulders pattern. The Shanghai Composite is seeing a very rapid collapse, falling below 2,500, which suggests the major fall in the Dow, he added. In the European markets, Guppy says Frankfurt's Dax is witnessing a different pattern to London's FTSE. Guppy uses the broad trading band as measurement- giving the Dax a downsize target of 1,500. The same head and shoulders pattern seen in the Dow can also being seen in the FTSE, he added. © 2010 CNBC.com
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As seem from the daily chart, the Straits Times Index is now forming the right shoulder and this is part of the Head and Shoulders reversal pattern. Until the neckline support is broken, the head and shoulders pattern is not yet complete. However, if the neckline support does break, the projected downside target is around 2290. This is a drop of over 350 points from the neckline!
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The road to trade success is very long and colourful. There are many things to consider when trading and for many starting out, there is too much to remember. The best way to ensure that you follow your trading plan and do not cut corners is to develop a routine, preferably written down. If needed, you could write down your routine in the form of a list in a logical sequence, and tick off every item as you complete it. This way you can be guaranteed of completing everything that you should.
You have little hope of developing a routine if you have not developed your trading plan. Your routine will be a logical progression from your written trading plan, and it will facilitate the adherence to your trading plan. You should aim to develop a routine that will guide you through all of the necessary steps and which will stop you getting distracted by other matters. Decision making heavily influences your trading success. Anything that can help you focus on the important decisions that need to be made should be considered. This is where your written routine or checklist can greatly assist. |
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